HOCKEY GM ADVICE
The hockey world has been in an uproar since the Ottawa Senators trade their captain Erik Karlsson to the San Jose Sharks last week. Let’s take a minute to break down this trade and see if the senators made a smart move or if they got “roasted”.
First off Dylan DeMelo. DeMelo was a 6th round draft pick in 2011 coming off a season where he had 0 goals and 20 assists for the Sharks averaging about 15 minutes per game. He was a point producer a few years ago in the OHL with 50 points in 64 games, but that has yet to translate into the NHL and watching this player, it does not seem as if they will either.
Next we have Chris Tierney. Tierney is coming off a 17 goal 40 point campaign which is not bad. The Senators are lacking scoring and his 17 goals will be a big help for them. Tierney was a 2nd round pick in 2012, and could still blossom into a 20 goal scorer. He will be a good third line center potentially second line scorer for the Senators next season, signed at a good cap hit of 2,937,500.
Next their is Rudolf the ned nose reindeer, I mean Rudolfs Balcers. Rudolfs is a Latvian drafted in the 5th round in 2015, who has so far turned out to be a steal in the 5th round. Rudolfs came to North America for the 2016-17 season to play in the WHL and played extremely well, putting up 40 goals 77 points in 66 games. Following that up with a very successful rookie campaign in the AHL scoring 23 goals and 48 points in 67 games. This young man could end up being the bright spot in the Karlsson trade if he continues to develop at this pace.
See some of his highlights here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmRDgrCMNg4
Next are the rights to Josh Norris. Josh it the highest prospect the Senators received in this trade as he was a first round draft pick in the 2017 draft, #19 overall. Last season playing for the University of Michigan, he put up 23 points in 37 games as a 19 year old. To put into perspective, Brady Tkachuk who plays in the same league, just put up 31 points in 40 games as a 18 year old.
Josh has yet to sign his entry level contract because he is currently playing in College. So the Senators could end up losing him if he refuses to sign with them, a.k.a the Will Butcher situation last season.
Let’s hope this is not the case, as he is the only real 1st round prospect the Sens received in this trade and if he decides to walk, it will make this situation so much worse for Sens fans.
Lastly they are guaranteed a 2nd round pick, with other picks all under conditions.
But its safe to say, the senators drastically lost this trade.
In February 2017, the Washington Capitals traded Zach Sanford, Phoenix Copley, a first round pick & a conditional 2nd round pick for Kevin Shattenkirk as a rental. Sanford is projected to be a 2nd line scorer, and Copley is now an NHL backup. Also that first round pick turning into Morgan Frost. If this is the value of Kevin Shattenkirk as a rental, why is Karlsson the best defenceman, and BEST offensive defenceman worth so little?
It is safe to say the Senators received way under value for their captain. My personal opinion is they would have received better value if they even went for a one-for-one trade with the Tampa Bay Lightning to bring back Mikhail Sergachev.
So to sum it all up, yes, I believe the Ottawa Senators got Roasted in this trade. I also believe the Senators received under value from the Sharks for Mike Hoffman as well. So safe to say the Sharks might be buying the Senators because they “owned them” in these last two trades.